Saturday, November 15, 2008

UFC 91 Main Event - Randy Couture vs. Brock Lesnar

More than one sports betting fan that follows MMA has called this the greatest fight of all time. Randy Couture vs. Brock Lesnar. Two of the biggest names in MMA take their games into the Octagon to battle it out for the championship!

What can any online betting fan say about Randy Couture that hasn’t already been said? The former 45 year old champion has a record of 16 and 8. He has fought Chuck Lidell three times and Tim Sylvia once. Couture is one of the old men of UFC having fought in the league since 1997. He will be an underdog in this fight but the experience edge cannot be discounted.

Experience edge? Why, yes. This will be only the fourth fight of Brock Lesnar’s brief UFC career. Lesnar is a former WWE champion who decided to go legit by fighting MMA. Even after three fights, Lesnar has shown the ability to be absolutely dominating. He’s a huge man, outweighing Couture by 50 pounds, and is much younger than the middle-aged Couture. In Lesnar’s first foray into the Octagon he took out a former champion, Frank Mir. That was a sign that this big boy knows how to fight.

Here are the BetUS Sportsbook online UFC betting odds for this fight:

Randy Couture - 105

Brock Lesnar - 125

So in the greatest UFC betting fight of all time which guy will end it with his arms up in the air? Brock Lesnar.

Before we get into that, let’s talk strategy. It’s obvious what Couture wants to do. He will need to find a way to stay on his feet and not get to the ground where Lesnar will be able to use his wrestling ability. Couture should circle right, like they teach you in boxing, so that he can avoid Lesnar’s incredibly powerful right hand. If Couture can do that, and not get to the ground, then he will be able to neutralize some of Lesnar’s superior skills, speed and power, in order to maybe use his experience to cause a submission.

Lesnar, on the other hand, can beat Couture by either getting him to the canvas, and staying away from a submission move by Couture, or simply knocking Couture out. It cannot be overstated that Couture is 45 years old. Lesnar is much younger, stronger and quicker and he outweighs Couture by 50 pounds!

As much as I would like to see Couture do well in this bout, I can’t readily pick him at – 105 in the BetUS online sportsbook.

I’ll be conservative in this match, put up the extra 20 bucks, and take Brock Lesnar. He’s too tough for the older Couture to handle. Yes, Couture has a huge experience edge and he and his team no doubt will try to goad Lesnar into making a few mistakes, but Brock Lesnar is a huge individual.

I see Lesnar possibly getting to Couture early. If he does, then forget it. Lesnar will squash the smaller man no matter how much more experience he has.

I’ll be making an online bet on Brock Lesnar to beat Randy Couture at the BetUS online sportsbook odds of – 125.